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Based on canon examples...no, House intel agencies aren't much more capable. 20 years of BT show the Houses just blunder into war after war and overlook threats until the threat is at their throat.
No, I'm sorry, that is wrong. Drawing this conclusion would fly in the face of canon again because for every canon resource, someone can find a canon source to refute. See also:
House Davion House Book
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"The MIIO has been one of the most effective and creative information gathering serivces in the Inner Sphere. Only the superb investigative abilities of Our Blessed Order (Comstar) surpass the talents of Davion agents...etc."
So, by that example, we can establish House intelligence agencies as being very highly skilled.
Intelligence Operations
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"No single House Lord had been able to gain the upper hand in the war for dominion over the rest of the Inner Sphere, a failure that inspired many attempts to steal the prize using espionage. In fact, the clandestine-operations branch of each great power often acheived far greater successes than their military counterparts in the decades-long Succession Wars."
Doesn't sound incompetent to me.
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For example, old Comstar managed to start the Third Succession War, destroy Star League caches, and assassinate countless House scientists without being caught for 250 years.
Which does not prove the Successor Houses were not also good.
Intel. Ops. Handbook
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"Well known for their often brutal tactics, ROM's operatives rank among the most experienced agents currently active..."
They are not the "best." Comstar
are good, more because their domination of secure communications and because they were not primarily defensive in operations - remove those two imbalancing factors, and objectively speaking, Comstar is only as good as the rest.
Nor does this mean Comstar could not be beaten. As Operation Flush, Davion's concentration of intelligence sources versus Comstar to rout them out 3034-3044, shows.
And yet, for all the supposed omniscience of Comstar, they failed to get a member into Wolf's Dragoons.
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I think it's more a matter of local governments handling a lot of the problems than depending on a central, l33t ubyr intel agency.
So what is said here is a House is built on a hegemony system? All evidence to the contrary:
Intel Ops
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"Over the centuries, the Successor States developed star-spanning intelligence services that played an integral role int he endless wars between their nations. Without their intelligence communities, the leaders and military commanders would remain blind to events both outside and within their borders. By the 31st Century, the intelligence networks had grown so vast and powerful that no Lord could afford to neglect them."
Local governments would handle local problems, not "national issues" which, as we've seen mentioned time and again, worlds have little rights when a House leader demands something of them.
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The abilities and failures of House intel agencies haven't significantly changed since 1986. The Jihad isn't a sign of sudden intelligence failure; it's more of the status quo with House's intel agenices.
Okay. Please
read Intelligence Operations Handbook. It is far more indepth than what information was available in 1986. The Jihad would apparently as the IOH clearly states increased intelligence resources revolving around WoB's operations by Sucessor States.
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If you take the perspective of a gamer who can ignore the political issues, diplomatic issues, military issues, available information, and social issues in favor of out-of-character knowledge then, yes, that makes sense. House Lords can't do that.
Not to prove contrary again, but the entire point of the Succession Wars has been to see who sits on Terra....
And I am not ignoring anything. Please do not assume.
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What the House Lords have to deal with:
In-Character Perspective: When WoB seized Terra in 3058, WoB was a non-threat. No one gave a damned about it except Comstar; the Houses were occupied with the Clans, fallout of the 4th Succession War, and Operation Guerro. In 3067, when WoB was busily extending its Protectorate across Chaos March worlds, it was annexing worlds outside the Star League while the Houses were suffering from the 4th Succession War, the Clan invasion, and the FedCom Civil War.
In-character perspective? We don't see direct evidence the House Lords breathe air, yet we can surmise they do. If we are going to operate solely on what is literally said, then the scope is too limited.
Saying the Houses don't care is just, well, illogical. The whole point of the Succession Wars was to determine a First Lord. You have said yourself on countless occasions how Terra remained valuable. It remained valuable as a social marker, industrial facility, and strategic system. While Comstar had it, it remained neutral. As Comstar Post-4th War is said in the canon it was no longer seen be neutral, then Terra would increase in value as it is owned by a party that could be a threat.
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In-Character Perspective 2: Was WoB a threat to the Houses? Heck, no.
Please reread the following:
Sarna March
Ideal War
Double Blind
Binding Force
Threads of Ambition
The Killing Fields
Blood of Kerensky and pretty much any of the '90's Stackpole novels.
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WoB wasn't causing any trouble, but the Clans were.
Yes, WoB was causing trouble. Again, reread those above.
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Where's this magical dread of some nuts seizing Terra?
You tell me: Paraphrased from "
The Fall of Terra":
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"Made On Terra" products sell at a premium, the massive trade, cultural, export of military manufacturing to Kurita, Davion, and Steiner Successor States, and tourist industry (all but wiped out by WoB's invasion) and the base senimentality Inner Sphere peoples have for Terra.
All of which are spelled out in the text. Wars have been launched for far far less reasoning.
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Terra had been out of the Houses' strategic equations for longer than the US has existed.
Then, pray tell, was anyone concerned with keeping open a Terran corridor? The truth is, the Terran "question" was all pervading. This is why states kept garrisons on worlds near it and why movements expanded to the frontiers. This is why the shape is a Sphere and not a bunch of lines, see?
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Military Issues: House Steiner has barbarians pillaging its border. If it could free up enough troops to do something about Terra, it could also probably take back worlds under the Clan yoke. House Kurita is in the same boat - it's damned busy with the Clans....
Yep, everyone is busy. Everyone was busy during the Succession Wars too, not much has changed in the overall number of theatres at war.
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Diplomatic Issues: WoB is Comstar's problem; a House invading Terra is courting an interdiction from Comstar and bad blood from the other Houses (not to mention the Clans!) over touching holy Terra. Not to mention the Pirahna Principle.
First, Comstar wouldn't bother interdicting a House attempting to remove Word of Blake. As Word Of Blake does not control all the HPGs this is less of threat.
Second, if as you say, "bad blood" would exist as a result of going after Terra, then WoB is generating "bad blood" by invading Terra.
Third, suspension of the greater effects of the Piranha Principle are evidenced through Operation Bulldog and other anti-Inner Sphere threats. As WoB is generally anti-Inner Sphere, it seems likely the Piranha Principle would not hold very well as obstruction to their removal.
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And that makes sense from an out-of-character perspective to someone who has the whole story on WoB up through the Jihad.
Nah, it makes sense merely based on logical moves. No one needs an ally when the ally provides little or nothing that cannot be provided by the central power itself. WoB is not a buffer, has been shown to operate in a crazed fashion even to characters, is known to operate in the same schizoid religious ways, controls only part of the HPG network, and has very limited trust outside of the Free Worlds League. Doesn't sound like an ally anyone would want.
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In-universe characters don't benefit from that kind of omniscience and foresight, and they are restricted by the negative feedback such an action would cause.
In-universe characters benefit from whatever a writer decides to give them. If a writer decides to give Character "X" a spur of even basic wisdom, then he does so. It really is quite simple.
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The more realistic situation is that the leaders are going to screw up, make poor decisions on mediocre intel and have to pay attention to negative feedback from their people when a "bold and decisive" move involves war (e.g., Hanse Davion's attempt to finish off the Confederation in the mid-3030s, or any House thinking of invading Terra in the 3050s when they were faced with Clan occupation, military exhaustion...
Um, Davion launched the invasion of the Draconis Combine (War of 3039), not the Capellan Confederation. Actually, that is not "more realistic" to ascertain the leaders would screw up. How does "more realistic" = "what the canon spoon feeds?" If the House Lords were so overly concerned about their people's feedback, then I doubt they would have been at war for as long as they have. At best, social feedback is a brake, not a wall, on the moves of the House Lords.
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and social backlash for attacking beloved true believers of Blake.
I don't see where it has been mentioned anyone would have cared about this.
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I disagree. All the military strategy and intelligence plotting don't make the tiny, mis-used militaries of the Houses into something that can readily defeat a House-sized foe.
A cursory reading of a House Book normally shows at one time or another, a House has been closed to defeat and near the pinnacle of success at various times throughout the history largely due to intelligence information, masking, or outright military success.
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Frankly, given the limited communications and difficult interstellar travel, I'd expect House intelligence agencies to be marked by their equal levels of incompetency (and thus inability to achieve many meaningful efforts against their foes). That certainly seems to be borne out in the static nature of the Succession Wars - no one could ever make headway.
Limited communications would not seem to be borne out because it is quite obvious interstellar trade runs quite efficiently and the apparent "HPG-on-every-world" aspect to the universe would dispell it. Certainly a House, with all the resources it conjures, are not as limited when enacting various plans.
The static nature of the Succession Wars reflects a balance of skill, not necessarily a lack of any. Show me a canon source that directly states the reason the Succession Wars are static is because a lack of skill.
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Which, IMO, sounds like a perfect example of an incompetently fought war on par with WWI - just bash against each other time and again and maybe, just maybe, you'll make a little headway
As it is your opinion, that's fine. But that opinion would not seem to be supported by the historical maneuvers during the Succession Wars.
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Considering how it took a minimum application of commonsense to achieve the success of the 4th SW, that, IMO, doesn't say much about the competency of pre-4th SW militaries, leadership, or intelligence agencies.
"And that makes sense from an out-of-character perspective to someone who has the whole story....In-universe characters don't benefit from that kind of omniscience and foresight..."
Sound familiar? According to canon resources, the contrary is true and the Houses are very skilled.
However, the end-result competency of any force would be given by the writer fiat. Hence the canon success of the Clans, Jihad, and just about any other campaign TPTB determine must happen in order to retain player interest.